عنوان
پدید آورنده
موضوع
رده
کتابخانه
محل استقرار
INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
(Number (ISBN
1421418800
(Number (ISBN
1421418819
(Number (ISBN
9781421418803
(Number (ISBN
9781421418810
NATIONAL BIBLIOGRAPHY NUMBER
Number
b398129
TITLE AND STATEMENT OF RESPONSIBILITY
Title Proper
The science of conjecture
General Material Designation
[Book]
Other Title Information
evidence and probability before Pascal /
First Statement of Responsibility
James Franklin ; with a new preface.
EDITION STATEMENT
Edition Statement
Johns Hopkins paperbacks edition.
.PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC
Place of Publication, Distribution, etc.
Baltimore, Maryland :
Name of Publisher, Distributor, etc.
Johns Hopkins University Press,
Date of Publication, Distribution, etc.
2015.
Place of Manufacture
(Baltimore, Md. :
Name of Manufacturer
Project MUSE,
Date of Manufacture
2015)
GENERAL NOTES
Text of Note
Issued as part of UPCC book collections on Project MUSE.
INTERNAL BIBLIOGRAPHIES/INDEXES NOTE
Text of Note
Includes bibliographical references and index.
CONTENTS NOTE
Text of Note
Preface to the 2015 edition -- Preface -- The ancient law of proof -- The medieval law of evidence : suspicion, half-proof, and inquisition -- Renaissance law -- The doubting conscience and moral certainty -- Rhetoric, logic, theory -- Hard science -- Soft science and history -- Philosophy : action and induction -- Religion : laws of God, laws of nature -- Aleatory contracts : insurance, annuities, and bets -- Dice -- Conclusion -- Epilogue : the survival of unquantified probability -- Appendix. Review of work on probability before 1660.
0
SUMMARY OR ABSTRACT
Text of Note
How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.
OTHER EDITION IN ANOTHER MEDIUM
International Standard Book Number
9781421418803
TOPICAL NAME USED AS SUBJECT
Evidence-- History.
Probabilities-- History.
PERSONAL NAME - PRIMARY RESPONSIBILITY
Franklin, James,1953-
CORPORATE BODY NAME - ALTERNATIVE RESPONSIBILITY
Project Muse
Project Muse,distributor.
ORIGINATING SOURCE
Date of Transaction
20161228114820.0
ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Electronic name
مطالعه متن کتاب [Book]
Y
